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ASX 200 slips 0.03% to 8,847.3 as 4.3% CPI erases a 0.94% morning gain

September CPI beat forecasts and lifted RBA hike odds to about 90%; tech rose 2.36%, energy fell 2.45%.

Mixed4 min readBy Swingfolio Research

At a glance

ASX 2008,847-0.03%
All Ords8,971+0.03%
AU VIX10.96-0.02%
ES_F7,759+0.01%
NQ_F29,939+0.43%

Top gainers

  • SDR.AUSiteMinder+18.12%
  • LIN.AULindian Resources+11.69%
  • NXT.AUNextDC+9.39%
  • BMN.AUBannerman Energy+9.25%
  • PRU.AUPerseus Mining+8.67%

Top losers

  • 4DX.AU4DMedical-4.99%
  • LLC.AULendlease-4.58%
  • NAN.AUNanosonics-4.17%
  • NHC.AUNew Hope-3.93%
  • ALD.AUAmpol-3.75%

ASX 200 slips 0.03% to 8,847.3 as 4.3% CPI erases a 0.94% morning gain

ASX 200 close: 8,847.3 (-0.03%) Breadth: 118 advancers / 93 decliners Sentiment: mixed

The S&P/ASX 200 closed at 8,847.3 on 28 October 2026, down 2.8 points or 0.03%, after September CPI came in at 4.3% annual against 4.2% expected and reversed a morning high of 8,933.3. NXT.AU rose 9.39% to $6.29 after reporting covenant compliance and headroom, as information technology gained 2.36%. Markets put the odds of an RBA hike on 3 November at about 90% (ABC), and rate-sensitive consumer, property and utility stocks closed lower.

What moved the index

Rate-sensitive sectors took about 27 bps from the ASX 200 on 28 October 2026, and materials added about 22 bps.

  • Rate-sensitive sectors after CPI: consumer discretionary -1.53%, A-REITs -0.49%, industrials -0.69%, communication services -1.07%, consumer staples -0.74%, utilities -1.24% and health care -0.26%, together worth about -27 bps. WES.AU fell 2.14% to $77.14 and JBH.AU 2.30% to $70.66 as hike pricing rose after the 11:30am release (Stockhead).
  • Energy: -2.45%, worth about -9 bps. WDS.AU fell 3.16% to $32.13, STO.AU 1.74% and ALD.AU 3.75% after crude eased overnight on Iran diplomacy (Market Index).
  • Materials: +1.07%, worth about 22 bps. The All Ords Gold index rose 2.61% after spot gold gained 1.1% overnight (Market Index); EVN.AU added 2.22% and SFR.AU 4.84%, while BHP.AU closed up 0.09%.
  • Information technology and financials: technology +2.36% (about 7 bps) and financials +0.16% (about 5 bps). CBA.AU rose 0.61% to $163.01 and WBC.AU 0.97%, while QBE.AU fell 2.42% and IAG.AU 2.27%.

Together, these drivers account for about -2 bps of the -3 bps move; advancers led decliners 118 to 93 across the 224-name sweep, with 13 unchanged, and the Small Ordinaries rose 1.03% (Stockhead).

Session highlights

  • 8,933.3 was the session high on Yahoo intraday data, 0.94% above Tuesday's 8,850.1 close, set before the CPI release; the index closed 86 points below it.
  • 0.8% monthly CPI growth in September beat the 0.7% forecast, and annual trimmed mean inflation matched estimates at 3.6% (Market Index, ABS). For the September quarter, trimmed mean rose 1.0% against an RBA forecast of 0.8% (ABC) and headline CPI 1.3%.
  • 9.4% higher automotive fuel prices in September followed a 14.8% jump in August; housing costs rose 5.2% over the year (Market Index, ABS).
  • KOSPI +6.70% to 6,016.33 and Nikkei +1.23% to 64,044.31 at their closes; the RBNZ held its cash rate at 2.75% on a 4-3 vote (ABC).

Sector scorecard

  • Best: Information Technology (+2.36%), with the All Ords Gold index +2.61%
  • Worst: Energy (-2.45%)
  • Dispersion (best minus worst): 4.81 pts
  • Energy had the widest internal spread, 13.18 pts, from BMN.AU +9.25% to NHC.AU -3.93%.
  • Materials +1.07%, Resources +0.57%, Financials +0.16%, Health Care -0.26%, A-REITs -0.49%, Industrials -0.69%, Consumer Staples -0.74%, Communication Services -1.07%, Utilities -1.24%, Consumer Discretionary -1.53%.

Top movers

TickerMoveReason
SDR.AU+18.12%Reaffirmed mid-20s FY27 ARR growth at its AGM (Market Index).
LIN.AU+11.69%Unannounced, likely flow-driven.
NXT.AU+9.39%Reported financial covenant compliance and headroom before the open.
BMN.AU+9.25%Uranium names rose; DYL.AU +7.38%, PDN.AU +4.93%.
PRU.AU+8.67%Gold miners rose 2.61% after Tuesday's 3.04% fall.
4DX.AU-4.99%Quarterly activity report and AGM.
LLC.AU-4.58%Unannounced, likely flow-driven.
NAN.AU-4.17%Unannounced, likely flow-driven.
NHC.AU-3.93%Coal fell with energy; YAL.AU -3.68%.
ALD.AU-3.75%Refiners fell with energy; VEA.AU -2.41%.

Notable announcements

  • SGR.AU: in a trading halt after the Federal Court ordered a $260m penalty for anti-money laundering breaches in AUSTRAC's case (ABC); the halt runs until an announcement or the open on Friday 30 October.
  • WOW.AU: first quarter group sales rose 4.7% to $19.4bn, with Australian Food up 6.9% to $14.84bn (Market Index); shares fell 0.46% to $40.82.
  • VCX.AU: reaffirmed FY27 FFO guidance of 16.0c to 16.2c a security at its AGM, with occupancy at 99.6% (Market Index).
  • RIO.AU: the board proposed raising the CEO's target pay 56% to £9.8m (Reuters via ABC); shares rose 0.17% to $150.58.

At the AU close (16:15 AEDT)

AssetLevelChangeContext
Nikkei64,044.31+1.23%Closed
KOSPI6,016.33+6.70%Closed
Hang Seng23,082.13+0.18%Trading
BrentUS$115.55+1.50%Recovered in Asian trade (ABC, 4:15pm)
Gold (spot)US$4,036/oz-0.50%Fed decision due Thursday AEDT
AUD/USD0.7037+0.13%Hike odds near 90% after CPI

S&P 500 futures rose 0.01% and Nasdaq futures 0.43% at the AU close.

Next 24h catalysts (AEDT)

  • Thu 29 October, 05:00: FOMC decision
  • Thu 29 October, 11:30: Australia international trade price indexes, September quarter
  • Fri 30 October: SGR.AU trading halt ends at the open unless lifted earlier
  • Tue 3 November: RBA rate decision

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Disclaimer

This briefing provides market observations and general information only. It is not personal financial advice and does not take into account your objectives, situation or needs. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Consider seeking independent advice before acting on any information presented here.

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