Morning briefAfternoon brief
afternoon

US Close 26 October 2026: S&P 500 +0.70% as Anthropic Filing Lifts Chips; Brazil ETF -19.82% After Lula Win

Chipmakers rose after Anthropic's public IPO filing, Range Resources agreed an all-stock merger with EQT, and New York-listed Brazilian stocks fell after the election.

Bullish4 min readBy Swingfolio Research

At a glance

S&P 5007,677+0.70%
NASDAQ26,169+0.82%
Dow52,362+0.28%
VIX18.39-5.45%
Russell 20002,786+0.38%
US Dollar102.0+0.19%
US 10Y4.99-0.04%

Top gainers

  • SGRY.USSurgery Partners+47.62%
  • RRC.USRange Resources+17.66%
  • ORKA.USOruka Therapeutics+12.70%
  • NLST.USNetlist+9.71%
  • INIO.USINNIO+9.34%

Top losers

  • XP.USXP Inc-48.36%
  • CSANY.USCosan-47.52%
  • BOLSY.USB3-41.36%
  • INTR.USInter & Co-34.91%
  • BDORY.USBanco do Brasil-32.93%

US Close 26 October 2026: S&P 500 +0.70% as Anthropic Filing Lifts Chips; Brazil ETF -19.82% After Lula Win

S&P 500 close: 7,676.77 (+0.70%) Sector breadth: 7 of 11 SPDR sector funds higher Sentiment: bullish

The S&P 500 closed at 7,676.77 on 26 October 2026, up 53.09 points or 0.70%, after Anthropic filed its IPO prospectus publicly and chipmakers rose: SMH.US +2.74%, NVDA.US +2.39%. Brazilian stocks listed in New York fell after President Lula won a fourth term, with XP.US -48.36% and the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ.US) -19.82%. The 10-year Treasury yield held at 4.99% and VIX fell 5.45% to 18.39 two days before the Fed decision.

What moved the index

The S&P 500 gained 70 bps on 26 October 2026, ending a two-week losing run, with technology supplying most of the rise.

  • Technology (XLK.US +1.69%): about 34% of the index, worth about 57 bps. NVDA.US +2.39%, AVGO.US +2.33%, MU.US +2.98% and AMD.US +2.80% rose after Anthropic's S-1 showed $16.3 billion of revenue in the six months to June, against $4.6 billion in all of 2025, per Yahoo Finance. MSFT.US added 1.54%; AAPL.US fell 1.10%.
  • Industrials (XLI.US +1.42%): about 8% weight, worth about 11 bps.
  • Consumer discretionary (XLY.US +1.03%): about 10% weight, worth about 10 bps, with TSLA.US +5.21% after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight.
  • Communication services (XLC.US -1.57%): about 10% weight, a drag of about 16 bps. META.US fell 1.88% after it announced plans to raise up to $95 billion for AI infrastructure, starting with $35 billion in common and preferred stock, per Yahoo Finance. GOOGL.US -1.06% and NFLX.US -2.96%.

Together, these four sectors account for about 62 bps of the 70 bps move; the residual sits in financials (XLF.US +0.21%), real estate (XLRE.US +0.54%) and energy (XLE.US +0.45%).

Session highlights

  • 26,169.38 on the Nasdaq Composite, up 0.82%, while the Dow rose 0.28% to 52,361.58 and the Russell 2000 0.38% to 2,786.42.
  • RRC.US +17.66% on an all-stock merger with EQT valued at about $50 billion, per Benzinga. Range holders receive 0.987 EQT shares each and will own about 27% of the combined company; EQT.US fell 1.40%.
  • LITE.US +8.19% to $818.10 after StoneX started coverage, per Yahoo Finance. Optical peers COHR.US +5.83% and AAOI.US +6.56% followed, and TTMI.US gained 6.73% after third-quarter sales rose 60% to $1.2 billion.
  • FICO.US -13.15% after Fair Isaac kept its mortgage score price at $10 for Preferred Program lenders, per Benzinga.
  • CRCL.US -7.07% after Mizuho reiterated Underperform and warned that AI assistants could steer users away from USDC.
  • $101.25 for December WTI, down 1.96%, as Saudi, Pakistani and Turkish officials prepared to meet Iranian leaders, per Benzinga. December gold rose 0.58% to $4,031.00 and DXY 0.19% to 102.00.

Brazil after the election

EWZ.US fell 19.82% on 26 October 2026 after Lula defeated Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in Sunday's runoff, a result that reversed a rally in Brazilian assets earlier this month. The real lost more than 10%, its worst day since 1999, per Benzinga.

  • XP.US -48.36%, more than double its previous worst day since its December 2019 listing.
  • ITUB.US -20.37%, BBD.US -28.01% and NU.US -16.95% led the banks lower.
  • PBR.US -13.99% and MELI.US -7.81%.

None of these names sits in the S&P 500, so the fall did not reach the index arithmetic above.

Sector scorecard

  • Best: Technology (+1.69%)
  • Worst: Communication services (-1.57%)
  • Dispersion (best minus worst): 3.26 pts
  • Health care (XLV.US) closed flat; consumer staples (XLP.US) -0.34% and utilities (XLU.US) -0.02% were the other decliners.

Top movers

TickerMoveReason
SGRY.US+47.62%Bon Secours Mercy Health deal at about $6 billion including debt, per FT
RRC.US+17.66%All-stock merger with EQT valued at about $50 billion
ORKA.US+12.70%Unannounced, likely flow-driven.
NLST.US+9.71%Unannounced, likely flow-driven.
INIO.US+9.34%Unannounced, likely flow-driven.
XP.US-48.36%Brazil election result; worst day since its 2019 listing
CSANY.US-47.52%Brazil election result
BOLSY.US-41.36%Brazil election result; B3 exchange operator
INTR.US-34.91%Brazil election result
BDORY.US-32.93%Brazil election result; state-controlled Banco do Brasil

After-hours earnings

Four companies reported after the 16:00 ET close on 26 October 2026, per Investing.com.

  • CLS.US jumped 9% after hours after closing the regular session 5.14% lower. Celestica reported adjusted EPS of $3.30 against $2.99 expected on revenue of $5.83 billion, up 83%, and raised its 2026 outlook to $21.0 billion of revenue.
  • WHR.US fell 8.5% after hours, on top of a 5.91% fall in the session. Whirlpool reported an adjusted loss of $0.21 a share against an expected profit of $1.04 and cut its 2026 outlook to a loss of $1.30 a share.
  • CDNS.US gained 2.4% after hours on revenue of $1.63 billion, up 22%, and a raised 2026 outlook of $6.39 billion to $6.42 billion. Its backlog reached a record $8.2 billion.
  • AMKR.US rose 5% post-market after a 6.34% session fall, despite revenue of $1.99 billion against $2.03 billion expected.

Notable announcements

  • AVGO.US rose 0.7% after hours after Bank of America, Blackstone, Citi and Morgan Stanley committed $63 billion to a vehicle that will buy Broadcom accelerators and networking hardware for Anthropic, with deliveries from 2027, per Investing.com.
  • MSFT.US offered voluntary buyouts to about 60,000 employees, per Yahoo Finance.
  • Anthropic reported a net loss of $80.7 billion through June, mostly from accounting charges, and agreements with SpaceXAI of up to $120.5 billion through 2029, per Yahoo Finance.

Next session catalysts (ET)

  • Tue 27 Oct, 8:00am: Whirlpool results call.
  • Tue 27 Oct: Celestica results call and investor day.
  • Tue 27 Oct: the Fed's two-day meeting starts; the decision is due Wednesday afternoon, and markets widely expect a hold under Chair Kevin Warsh, per Yahoo Finance.
  • Wed 28 Oct, after the close: Alphabet and Microsoft report.

Context only, not financial advice. Track your own trades with Swingfolio.

Track every trade. Learn from every week.

Swingfolio logs your entries, exits, and R-multiples automatically — so your weekly review writes itself.

Disclaimer

This briefing provides market observations and general information only. It is not personal financial advice and does not take into account your objectives, situation or needs. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Consider seeking independent advice before acting on any information presented here.

Prices and market data sourced from EODHD and Yahoo Finance and may be delayed. Swingfolio does not hold an AFS licence and does not provide personal advice. Editorial standards and methodology →