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ASX 200 ends FY26 at 8,778.7, down 0.51% as year-end flows dump gold and property

Sixteen gold names and the major REITs were sold in a late year-end program while the banks drew the cash. Neuren and Megaport led a thin pocket of winners.

Mixed4 min readBy Swingfolio Research

At a glance

ASX 2008,779-0.51%
All Ords8,986-0.45%
AU VIX11.65+1.72%
S&P 5007,440+1.18%
NASDAQ25,820+2.07%
Dow52,183+0.59%
VIX17.48-0.96%
Gold4,043+0.10%
Brent73.49-0.60%
AUD/USD0.6876-0.15%
ES_F7,505+0.07%
NQ_F30,098+0.15%

Top gainers

  • CBO.AUCobram Estate Olives+8.11%
  • NEU.AUNeuren Pharmaceuticals+6.93%
  • EOS.AUElectro Optic Systems+6.63%
  • MP1.AUMegaport+6.36%
  • KAR.AUKaroon Energy+5.82%

Top losers

  • MI6.AUMinerals 260-10.43%
  • RSG.AUResolute Mining-8.25%
  • VAU.AUVault Minerals-7.13%
  • PRU.AUPerseus Mining-6.98%
  • RRL.AURegis Resources-6.94%

ASX 200 ends FY26 at 8,778.7, down 0.51% as year-end flows dump gold and property

ASX 200 close: 8,778.7 (-0.51%) Breadth: 116 advancers / 164 decliners (ASX 300) Sentiment: mixed

The S&P/ASX 200 closed at 8,778.7 on 30 June 2026, down 44.7 points or 0.51% on its session low, finishing FY26 up just 6.1% in its weakest financial year since FY22 as a late-session sell program hit gold miners and property trusts on the last day of the year. Perseus Mining PRU.AU fell 7.0% and the All Ordinaries Gold Sub-Index dropped 4.6% even though COMEX gold held flat at US$4,043 an ounce, marking the move as portfolio housekeeping rather than a commodity signal. The cash went the other way, into the major banks, with Commonwealth Bank CBA.AU up 0.6% and Financials the only large sector to close green.

What moved the index

  • Materials -1.61% (about 18% of the index) stripped roughly 30 bps off the benchmark. The Gold Sub-Index did most of it: PRU.AU -7.0%, Regis Resources RRL.AU -6.9%, Northern Star NST.AU -5.8%, Evolution Mining EVN.AU -5.2%. Iron-ore majors added to the drag, FMG.AU -1.9%, RIO.AU -0.9% and BHP.AU -0.7%, even as Singapore iron ore firmed 0.3% to US$99.15/t and COMEX copper rose 1.6%.
  • Real Estate -2.22% (about 6.5% of the index) took off roughly 14 bps. Goodman Group GMG.AU -3.0%, Mirvac MGR.AU -2.6%, Dexus DXS.AU -2.2% and Stockland SGP.AU -2.2% were all caught in the same late order.
  • Financials +0.42% (about 34% of the index) added back roughly 14 bps. CBA.AU +0.6%, ANZ.AU +0.4% and Zip Co ZIP.AU +3.5% drew the year-end cash looking for bank liquidity.

Materials and Real Estate together stripped about 44 bps from the index and the banks returned about 14 bps; the residual is broad, with five of eleven sectors red and ASX 300 breadth at 116 advancers to 164 decliners.

Session highlights

  • Gold Sub-Index -4.6% on one large sell order in the final hour. COMEX gold held flat at US$4,043/oz (+0.1%) and silver gained 1.3% to US$59.39, so the equities, not the metal, did the moving.
  • KAR.AU +5.8% led Energy +0.38% after Morgans upgraded it to Buy and the company named a new CFO and COO; WDS.AU +0.9% and STO.AU +0.8% firmed despite Brent at US$73.49/bbl (-0.6%).
  • MP1.AU +6.4% paced Information Technology +0.35%, tracking Wall Street's overnight tech rally that lifted the Nasdaq about 2% on Monday; Weebit Nano WBT.AU +3.1% and Dicker Data DDR.AU +3.0% followed.
  • CBA.AU closed FY26 down 11% on the year, the standout laggard among the big banks even as the sector finished the session in front.

Sector scorecard

  • Best: Financials (+0.42%)
  • Worst: Real Estate (-2.22%)
  • Dispersion (best minus worst): 2.64 pts
  • Materials (-1.61%) was the second-worst sector, and the Gold Sub-Index (-4.6%) was the deepest single sub-index move; 5 of 11 sectors closed red.

Top movers

TickerMoveReason
CBO.AU+8.1%Olive-oil group, no company news; up 107% over the year.
NEU.AU+6.9%Macquarie retained Outperform with a $19.10 target.
EOS.AU+6.6%Defence-tech demand; no fresh announcement.
MP1.AU+6.4%Tracked the overnight Wall Street tech rally.
KAR.AU+5.8%Morgans upgrade to Buy plus a new CFO and COO.
MI6.AU-10.4%Deepest faller in the year-end gold sell-off.
RSG.AU-8.3%Resolute hit as funds cut gold weightings.
VAU.AU-7.1%Vault Minerals sold in the late index program.
PRU.AU-7.0%Perseus down though COMEX gold held at US$4,043.
RRL.AU-6.9%Regis caught in the same year-end unwind.

Notable announcements

  • ARU.AU +4.3%: signed a binding term sheet to supply 500 tpa of NdPr oxide to an Indian industrial group for at least five years, funding its Nolans rare-earths project.
  • DMP.AU -5.0%: extended its France and Belgium master franchise agreements to 30 September 2026 to finish renewal paperwork.
  • BKY.AU -6.1%: filed for ICSID arbitration against Spain seeking about US$1.25bn over its blocked Salamanca project.
  • CKF.AU -2.5%: reported FY26 underlying net profit of $61m, 2% above consensus, but flagged weaker trading in Germany and the Netherlands.
  • EZL.AU +8.0%: agreed to sell its capital-markets arm to BMO Financial Group for $145m.

At the AU close (16:00 AEST)

AssetLevelChangeContext
S&P 500 futures7,505+0.07%Holding Monday's record close into the US open
Nasdaq futures30,098+0.15%Extending Monday's tech rally (cash Nasdaq +2%)
COMEX goldUS$4,043/oz+0.1%Flat; the gold-miner sell-off was equity-driven
ICE BrentUS$73.49/bbl-0.6%Energy equities rose despite the softer crude
COMEX copperUS$6.264/lb+1.6%Firm base metals; iron ore +0.3% to US$99.15/t
AUD/USD0.6876-0.15%Steady against a slightly firmer US dollar

Next 24h catalysts (AEST)

  • Wed 1 Jul, 09:30: SPI open; flat US futures point to a steady start to FY27.
  • Wed 1 Jul, 11:30: AUS May Building Approvals (+0.2% m/m forecast vs -3.4% in April).
  • Wed 1 Jul, overnight: US Conference Board Consumer Confidence (94.2 forecast) and JOLTS job openings (7.28m forecast).
  • Wed 1 Jul, 23:00: US Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speaks.
  • Thu 2 Jul, 22:30: US June Non-Farm Payrolls (+114k forecast, unemployment 4.3%), pulled forward ahead of Friday's US Independence Day holiday.

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