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ASX 200 rebounds 1.62% as oil slides on a tentative Iran ceasefire

Materials lead at +2.9% with gold miners and lithium bouncing; energy the lone laggard as Brent falls toward an 18% monthly drop.

Bullish4 min readBy Swingfolio Research

At a glance

ASX 2008,732+1.62%
VIX15.83+0.57%
Gold4,545+0.27%
Brent91.93-0.83%
AUD/USD0.7162-0.02%
ES_F7,587+0.07%
NQ_F30,313+0.02%

Top gainers

  • 4DX.AU4DMedical+18.86%
  • EOS.AUElectro Optic Systems+16.18%
  • VUL.AUVulcan Energy+9.62%
  • FLT.AUFlight Centre+8.22%
  • PRU.AUPerseus Mining+6.38%

Top losers

  • CIA.AUChampion Iron-6.90%
  • DXS.AUDexus-5.40%
  • KAR.AUKaroon Energy-2.25%
  • VEA.AUViva Energy-1.85%
  • CSL.AUCSL-1.00%

ASX 200 rebounds 1.62% as oil slides on a tentative Iran ceasefire

ASX 200 close: 8,731.7 (+1.62%) Breadth: nine of eleven sectors higher; energy and utilities the only decliners Sentiment: bullish

The S&P/ASX 200 closed at 8,731.7 on 29 May 2026, up 138.8 points or 1.62%, as a slide in oil on a tentative US-Iran ceasefire extension turned the market risk-on and lifted nine of eleven sectors. 4DMedical (4DX.AU) was the standout, up 18.86% after a commercial deal put its CT:VQ lung scan into more than 170 US outpatient imaging centres. Brent crude is now down about 18% this month, its steepest monthly fall since 2020, as the prospect of reopened Strait of Hormuz flows unwinds the wartime spike that had inflated energy and gold.

What drove the move

The index recovered almost all of Thursday's 1.43% drop, and two sectors did most of the work.

  • Materials (+2.9%) was the biggest engine, worth roughly 70 bps of the 162 bps index gain. Gold miners rebounded hard (Perseus +6.38%, Evolution +4.21%, Newmont +3.77%) as bullion steadied near US$4,545/oz after its rout, while the iron-ore majors firmed (BHP +2.91%, Fortescue +2.43%, Rio Tinto +1.18%) with the 62% Fe spot price holding about US$109 a tonne.
  • Financials (+0.9%) added roughly 30 bps, led by CBA +2.24% and Macquarie +1.05% as money moved back into the heavyweights after Thursday's profit-taking.
  • Energy was the only real offset alongside utilities, trimming a few bps as Karoon -2.25%, Viva Energy -1.85% and Santos -0.51% tracked crude lower; Woodside held flat at +0.03%.

Together, materials and the banks account for about 100 of the 162 bps move. The remaining 60-odd bps came from a broad bid, with industrials, tech, consumer and real estate all green.

Session highlights

4DMedical (4DX.AU) +18.86% topped the index on its SimonMed Imaging agreement, which puts CT:VQ and lung-density analysis into more than 170 US outpatient centres on commercial terms from day one.

Electro Optic Systems (EOS.AU) +16.18% led defence after closing its MARSS acquisition, which lifts the combined order book about 40% to roughly A$726m; DroneShield (DRO.AU) +6.27% rose with it.

Vulcan Energy (VUL.AU) +9.62% drove a lithium bounce on successful production testing at Lionheart, joined by Core Lithium +7.27%, Patriot Battery Metals +6.62% and IGO +3.57%.

Flight Centre (FLT.AU) +8.22% headed travel as the ceasefire eased a Middle East demand hit that cut about $10m from its April profit; Adairs +7.45%, Qantas +3.17% and Lovisa +2.70% rose too.

Sector scorecard

  • Best: Materials (+2.9%), its rise in six of the past seven sessions
  • Worst: Energy, the only sector lower alongside utilities (Karoon -2.25%, Viva Energy -1.85%, Santos -0.51%; Woodside flat at +0.03%)
  • Dispersion (best to worst): about 4 points
  • Materials had the widest internal split: every large gold miner rose (Perseus +6.38%, Resolute +7.98%, St Barbara +10.58%), while Champion Iron -6.90% was the sector's lone heavyweight decliner on its results.

Top movers

TickerMoveReason
4DX.AU+18.86%SimonMed deal puts its CT:VQ lung scan into 170+ US outpatient centres
EOS.AU+16.18%MARSS acquisition closed; order book up ~40% to about A$726m
VUL.AU+9.62%Successful production testing at the Lionheart lithium project
FLT.AU+8.22%Iran ceasefire eases the Middle East travel hit that cut April profit
PRU.AU+6.38%Gold miners rebounded across the board as bullion steadied
CIA.AU-6.90%FY26 Q4 net income more than halved; dividend cut to 2c
DXS.AU-5.40%Slid against a higher REIT sector; no disclosed catalyst
KAR.AU-2.25%Oil producer tracked crude lower on the ceasefire deal
VEA.AU-1.85%Fuel refiner-retailer pressured by the same crude slide
CSL.AU-1.00%The healthcare heavyweight capped the index gain

Notable announcements

  • Champion Iron (CIA.AU) reported FY26 Q4 results: revenue about $415m and net income $23.2m, less than half the prior year; the board cut the dividend to 2c (record 12 June, payable 8 July) under a new 30% to 40% free-cash-flow payout policy.
  • 4DMedical (4DX.AU) signed a US commercial agreement with SimonMed Imaging, which runs more than 170 outpatient imaging centres, for immediate clinical deployment of CT:VQ.
  • Electro Optic Systems (EOS.AU) completed its MARSS acquisition, taking the combined order book to roughly A$726m from about A$509m.

At the AU close (16:15 AEST)

AssetLevelChangeContext
S&P 500 futures (ES)7,587.25+0.07%Live; points to a steady Friday US open
Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ)30,312.75+0.02%Live; AI trade still in front
S&P 500 (Thu close)7,563.63+0.58%Record close, Snowflake-led tech rally
US VIX15.83+0.57%Subdued at 15.8
Brent crudeUS$91.93-0.83%Down about 18% on the month
GoldUS$4,545/oz+0.27%Steadied after the rout
AUD/USD0.7162-0.02%Held flat

Next 24h catalysts (AEST)

  • Fri night - US Friday session and month-end positioning; futures point flat to firmer
  • Sat to Sun (30 to 31 May) - China NBS May PMIs; the key demand read for iron ore into Monday
  • Mon 1 Jun - ASX reopens; China Caixin manufacturing PMI; SPI tracks Friday's Wall Street
  • Wed 3 Jun - Australia Q1 GDP (March-quarter National Accounts)
  • Fri 5 Jun (US) - US May jobs report (nonfarm payrolls)
  • Swing factor: the durability of the US-Iran ceasefire, which sets oil's direction

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Disclaimer

This briefing provides market observations and general information only. It is not personal financial advice and does not take into account your objectives, situation or needs. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Consider seeking independent advice before acting on any information presented here.

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